... all 435 districts, live from the prediction markets
DEMO: the movement on this page is made up from today's prices, to preview election night. These are not real odds.
DEM House...chance to win control
DEM favored...expected ...
GOP favored...expected ...
GOP House...chance to win control
Districts by current favorite. The dashed line is 218, a majority.
Latest moves
No big moves yet. Moves of 2 points or more, and every change of favorite, show up here.
Show districts:
These market-based odds are updated every 10 minutes using Polymarket's prices for each of the 435 districts.
Each district is shaded in blue or red by its favorite's chance of winning, with the percentage shown in the box.
Hover over a district for the candidates.
A box with a check mark has been called (by AP or the networks) or settled by Polymarket.
A dashed box means its market stopped trading normally (it happens after a call); it keeps its last good price.
The chance of winning control comes from Polymarket's own "which party will win the House" market.
Expected seats add up every district's odds. Adding up the districts can't give the chance of control,
because races move together: a good night for one party is usually good for it everywhere.
On election night, the newest prices roll in one district at a time, biggest moves first.
