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April/May Contests - Live Pricing
In each state contest, LatestPollResults.com calculates and displays each candidate's probability of winning. Up-to-the-minute updates provided using live pricing from the PredictIt.com trading market.
LatestPollResults.com offers an unbiased, statistically-based probability analysis of the latest poll in each state to project the winner of the Electoral College for the Presidential election. We correctly projected Bush to win in 2000 and 2004 and Obama to win in 2008 and 2012 . In 2010, we expanded our analysis to the Senate races and we projected that the Democrats would win control of the Senate in 2010 and 2012 and the Republicans in 2014 .
Each projection accurately predicted the election outcome. We will be providing daily updates as soon as there is head-to-head polling between the Republican and Democratic candidates. Until then, we'll offer our analysis using the prediction markets.